Tutu-julkaisut 2024
Tutu eJulkaisut 2024 / FFRC eBooks:
Sirkka Heinonen, Risto Sivonen, Joni Karjalainen, Amos Taylor, Saija Toivonen & Lassi Tähtinen
TESTING URBAN RESILIENCE WITH IMMERSIVE CLA AND WHAT IF?
Three Cases: Rovaniemi, Kotka and Tripla
FFRC eBooks 1/2024
Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku
ISBN 978-952-249-594-5 (print)
ISBN 978-952-249-612-6 (pdf)
ISSN 1797-1322
The world is full of volatility, complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity (VUCA), nurturing rapid change and disruption with much potential for crises. Alone in this century, societies have been shaken by multiple crises. Futures studies can help imagining and envisioning sustainable post-crises worlds that are better for all living species. Crises should be counterbalanced by strengthening crisis awareness, crisis preparedness and crisis resilience as is our aim within the RESCUE project (Real Estate and Sustainable Crisis Management in Urban Environments). Testing and rehearsing crises via cognitive, multistakeholder foresight processes helps build futures preparedness and preventive stances. Futures literacy is expanded to embrace crisis awareness and preparedness as a key to robust futures resilience.
Constructing cities worldwide has direct impacts on nature, health, wellbeing and equality. Simultaneously, digitalisation is transforming the urban space profoundly. The sustainable twin transition of the green and the digital requires careful balancing. We should be addressing and modifying the built environment, both land and space, as a rescue mode in crises. Anticipatory governance can drive crisis preparedness and help determine the resilience of urban environments. In this experimental foresight exercise, we apply the metaphor constructing the future in our inquiry on the kinds of governance and regulations that would be needed for making cities and the built environment resilient. What policies would have to be changed; and how should they be framed, for them to become truly transformative? In addition, we look for potential barriers and incentives for promoting successful crisis preparedness, as well as suggestions for concrete policy actions and recommended practices that would promote actor involvement, equal power relations, and collaboration, and as a result enable community empowerment toward resilient urban environments. Methodologically we apply a rehearsing futures approach and use empirical data from three futures cliniques for testing and analysing possible direct and indirect impacts of a crisis. For this exercise the crisis chosen was total electronic blackout and for analysing it we applied the foresight method causal layered analysis (CLA). The data presented in this report was subsequently collected with stakeholders in three different urban cases: 1) Rovaniemi, 2) Kotka and 3) the Tripla complex in Helsinki.
Tolga Karayel, Jari Kaivo-oja, Tero Villman, Laura Pouru-Mikkola, Michael Lindholm & Eero Immonen
EXPLORING SMART CITY DIGITAL TWINS
From Distinct Concepts Towards Integrated Socio-Technical Applications
FFRC eBooks 2/2024
Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku
ISBN 978-952-249-613-3, ISSN 1797-1322
In the research-based e-book report of the Smart City Digital Twins (SCDTs) project, we have provided different conceptualization approaches on Smart City and Digital Twins, then attempt to merge those varying concept-lines with general guidelines for data management and knowledge management. It was a difficult task to bring together the smart city and the digital twin concepts into one common denominator. Smart cities can be defined as socio-technical urban systems. Cities are a social system with dynamics of people, goods, culture, biodiversity, sustainability, and creativity. Technical systems of these complex social system require intense technological infrastructures. Thus, the collection, extraction, consistency of the data in smart cities as socio-technical systems should ensure city planners, businesses, people to make current and future-oriented informed-decisions by considering all the urban data within cities. Further, this requires more data management and the integration of data sets into real urban planning processes. The essential challenge is the integration of data/information systems concerning each other and the development of systemic entities in cooperation with expert groups and experts from different professional areas of urban planning.
The concept of digital twins can be considered only if smart city reaches essential maturity, because digital twins, with their basic definition, are the real-time replication of a process, product and systems in digital environments. In this regard, various feasible frameworks and methods have been presented whether a city’s smart city initiatives have sufficient maturity e.g., for digital twin integration. Maturity of smart city and its systemic urban planning entities can be examined from the Smart City Wheel framework, as shown in the research report.
Also, in this final report, we identified ten key challenges of the co-creation of smart cities and digital twins and presented them in the following Policy Brief section. Often these dossiers have been developed in isolation, which is a problematic approach in many ways. This was also an important strategic issue and a key challenge for the Smart City Digital Twins project.
This publication is the final report of the Smart City Digital Twins project, which includes the following topics. In Chapter 1, we motivate the readers of our report on the different themes of Smart City Digital Twins development activities. The Smart City Digital Twins challenge affects all public sector and urban developers, as well as businesses and industry, the academic research community, and civil society actors (i.e. the so-called "Digital Twins"). Quadruple Helix stakeholders). In Chapter 2, we introduce readers to the content discussion of both Smart City and Digital Twin concepts and recent scientific developments in the field. In this context, we see that scientific research today provides a strong case for the development of smart cities and digital twins. In Chapter 3, we provide a methodological overview of the foresight and urban planning methods used during the project, which were also piloted in the project. In Chapter 3 Boyd Cohen’s Smart City Wheel approach is introduced and data collection/management framework of urban city studies is explained. In Chapter 3, we also explain Benchmarking, Bench-learning, and Bench-action Process approach, participatory hybrid foresight framework, and applied case study framework of cities. In Chapter 4, we report insights into smart city digital twins' development from urban case studies (Turku, Gdańsk, Wrocław, and Vilnius). Insights are based on qualitative and quantitative analyses. In Chapter 5, conclusive remarks and reflections are presented.
Ana Jones-Wilenius:
FFRC eBooks 3/2024
Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku
ISBN 978-952-249-615-7, ISSN 1797-1322
The Indonesian government is relocating its capital city Jakarta to East Kalimantan in the Island of Borneo. The development of this new national capital best known as Nusantara offers two competing narratives, one of a green and smart “World City for All” (OIKN), and another one of adverse in-situ rural transformation and construction impacts. From a futures perspective, this major change prompts several questions about the images and attitudes that exist in the mind of the communities of people who will create the new social fabric of the city. Central to this is the understanding of long-term implications of those images, how they get manifested in planning, and what new opportunities will emerge from this major rural-urban transformation.
Using futures and foresight methods and tools, our task has been to explore the attitudes and perceptions held by local and migrant residents towards the new capital city. We collected, processed and analysed the perceptions and expectations of six different groups of residents from the Argo Mulyo Village in the (Sepaku District) and from other surrounding villages. The groups were invited to take part on a series of futures workshops designed to be participatory. This Futures and Foresight in Participatory Urban Planning report informs on the foresight process steps that were conducted and the results from the workshops activities.
The report been produced in the context of the Co-Creation project Foresight for Resilient Cities (FoReCi), a cross-disciplinary effort between the Centre for East Asian Studies (CEAS) and the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC) at the University of Turku.
Sirkka Heinonen, Samaneh Ebrahimabadi, Riku Viitamäki, Amos Taylor, Paula Pättikangas, Mikkel Knudsen & Lassi Tähtinen:
FFRC eBooks 4/2024
Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku
ISBN 978-952-249-616-4 (pdf), ISBN 978-952-249-619-5 (print), ISSN 1797-1322
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This report documents the process and results of the Millennium Project Special Session that was organised within the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC) Conference in Turku, Finland on 13th June, 2024. The MP Session was conducted within the FFRC research project T-winning Spaces 2035 that is ongoing at University of Turku, studying futures of work, work spaces, and new paradigm of work. The T-winning Spaces 2035 is a research project funded by the Research Council of Finland, and the European Union NextGenerationEU. It is headed by Aalto University with University of Turku and University of Tampere as partners. The Session was organised in co-operation between University of Turku, Aalto University, Millennium project, and the Finnish Society for Futures Studies. The session was arranged as an interactive futures clinique, with initial futures provocation followed by small group working on five paradoxes by applying a new foresight technique called ‘paradox probing’. The session thus provided a methodological experimentation where paradoxes were deconstructed via CLA (Causal Layered Analysis) and narratives for five different futures of work were sketched.
Coolest Student Papers at Finland Futures Research Centre 2023–2024.
Tulevaisuuden tutkimuskeskuksen valittuja opiskelijatöitä 2023–2024.
Hanna-Kaisa Aalto, Marianna Birmoser Ferreira-Aulu, Amanda Halme, Katariina Heikkilä, Hanna Heino, Pasi Keski-Pukkila, Marjukka Parkkinen, Sari Puustinen, Martyn Richards, Hazel Salminen, Morgan Shaw, Katriina Siivonen, Petri Tapio & Anne Arvonen (editors)
FFRC eBooks 5/2024
Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku
ISBN 978-952-249-618-8, ISSN 1797-1322
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Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC) has published since 2016 a collection of most prominent student papers written during the previous study year. The FFRC wants to offer a real publication forum for students and help them to get perhaps the first publication marking on their list of publications. Even if it sometimes feels that the role of academic writing is diminishing in communicating the results and developments of sciences, it is still a skill needed in the future. Artificial intelligence apps also need information to gather and process. Let this publication be also part of this new purpose.
Our publication consists of writings of students from our Master’s Degree Program in Futures Studies, Sustainable Development Studies of University of Turku and Finland Futures Academy. Because student papers are originally written in Finnish or English we publish them in their original language. This time the papers deal with questions of current challenges like sustainability and cultural sustainability, futures of public health care; and basic scientific questions like methodological development of futures studies and foresight as well as history of science. The students have been eager to participate in choosing the topics of writings in different courses which shows that they are interested in global challenges and the role of science in solving these.
We hope that the publication in hand gives courage to the authors to continue on the path of academic writing, works as an example for other students and gives fruits of thought to other readers and users of information – whether they are humans or machines.
Anna Kirveennummi & Katariina Heikkilä:
Hoivaa, vaali ja säilytä – Tulevaisuuskeskusteluja rakennusperinnön ja -suojelun puolesta
TUTU eJulkaisuja 6/2024
Tulevaisuuden tutkimuskeskus, Turun yliopisto
ISBN 978-952-249-621-8, ISSN 1797-1322
Tämä julkaisu perustuu rakennussuojelusta kiinnostuneiden ja sitä työkseen tekevien ihmisten asiantuntijanäkemyksiin toimintaympäristöjen muutoksista. Vuonna 2024 toteutetut rakennussuojelun tulevaisuustyöpajat keräsivät pitkälle yli sata asiantuntijaa keskustelemaan vuoteen 2050 mennessä mahdollisesti esiin nousevista rakennussuojelukysymyksistä.
Työpajojen tavoitteena oli avoin ideointi ja valmistautuminen erilaisiin tulevaisuuksiin. Julkaisussa kiinnitetään huomiota erityisesti rakennetun ympäristön ja rakennussuojelun suhteeseen erilaisissa muuttuvissa olosuhteissa. Keskustelut erilaisista mahdollisuuksista ja niihin kytkeytyvistä rakennussuojelun arvoista ja merkityksistä kiteytyvät neljään tulevaisuuskuvaan ja teemaan, joihin tulevaisuudessa tulisi kiinnittää erityistä huomiota: 1) Kulttuuriympäristön vaaliminen tuo elinvoimaa, 2) Rakennusten arvokas materiaali pysyy käytössä, 3) Rakennussuojelu on huolen pitämistä ja 4) Muutokset pakottavat ennakoimaan ja etsimään uusia ratkaisuja.
Joni Karjalainen, Sari Miettinen, Osku Haapasaari & Juha Kaskinen:
Shaping Education and 21st Century Skills with Futures Literacy. The Futures of Teacher Education in Kenya 2050.
FFRC eBooks 7/2024
Finland Futures Research Centre, University of Turku
ISBN 978-952-249-622-5, ISSN 1797-1322
Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC) of the University of Turku collaborates with the University of Helsinki, University of Nairobi, and Strathmore University in the Research-based and Future-oriented Curriculum Review and Development for Teacher Education (REFORD) project (2022–2024). The project is co-funded by the Global Innovation Network for Teaching and Learning (GINTL).
The project aims to support Kenyan students to acquire skills needed in 21st century life and the labour market. In Kenya, the Competency Based Curriculum (CBC) was launched for basic education in 2017. The current focus is on rolling out CBC in higher education institutions (HEIs) and teacher education. In addition, the research conducted under REFORD aims to specifically strengthen the design of curricula, improve the quality of delivery of teacher preparation programmes, and thus, strengthen the preparedness of the higher education institutions to implement the CBC.
In this report, authored by the FFRC, the authors examine data uncovered during the project from the perspective of futures studies. The analysis contributes to debates on the needs of students and teachers, 21st century competences, synergies and interruptions in CBC between educational levels, standard of teacher education and university programmes in relation to futures phenomena. The report highlights ways in which the constantly evolving futures horizon is affecting the landscape of Kenyan educational policy and provides information on how education in the Global South can meet aspirations of sustainability.
The outputs of the report support the achievement of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 4 to ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all. To sustain our 21st century lives, educational structures need to provide learners with relevant competences, models, and a mindset that recognizes the various future opportunities and challenges we are facing.
